2005/6 .

Aging began to destroy the balance of the world.

06/04/(23/17)

The aged population (64 years old over) was 20,490,000 people in 1998 years.
It was 16.2% of total population.
The government expected that 1/4 becomes over 64 years old in 2015 years.

The aged population was 24,880,000 people in 2004 years.
It was 19.5% of total population.
The 4,000,000 people of aged increased for 6 years.
The population over 89 years old reached 1,016,000 people.
It exceeded one million high levels for the first time.
Vital statistics can predict future.
It can expect the labor market after 20 with the population analysis of the child.
The population movement exerts an important influence on economy/society/politics/environment.
The growth of the average span of life breaks the pension and medical treatment from the foundation.
Public pension/medical treatment burden becomes an impossibility.
The reliance rate soars to 52%-65% America, 49%-78% EU, 44%-86% Japan.
The time when it can offer to employment in the society decreases.
The employment years of the male decrease to 33 years (2030 years) from 50 years (1950 years).
It is connected to the decline of the growth rate of the income to every 1 person.
The decline rate (1998-2050 years) is Japan 23%, EU 18%, America 10%.
The discrimination between men/women and age group expand.
Mankind are overlooking that is very important.
What did the population fluctuation cause on the history of mankind?

Aging and little child -ization are going on in the advanced country.
The population proportion of the advanced country decreases to 20% (21st century-end) from 10% (1995 years).
Juvenility (15-24 years old) population decreases to one hundred seventy-six million people (2020 years) from one hundred thirty-five million people (1995 years) by aging.

In 2030 years, the aged proportion of the OECD countries becomes between 49.2% (16% in 1960 years) of Germany from 33% (13.9% in 1960 years) of Australia.

The other, the population of India increases to eight hundred fifty-three million people (1990 years) to one billion five hundred million people (2050 years).
The population of China increases to one billion one hundred forty million people to one billion five hundred million people.
Other Asian countries increase to one billion one hundred million people to two billion four hundred million people.
The population of Africa increases to six hundred forty-two million people to two billion people.

The country where accomplished population conversion ruinous environment visits someday.
Why?
Many immigrants occur.
Ethnic conflict/Environmental pollution/Unstableness of the city is promoted.
Poor person increases.
Slum town increases.
The corruption and corruption of politics increase.
Tribe opposition expands.

Aging will give new tension to the world.
2 imbalance on vital statistics will cause many problems in the world.




Aging began to destroy the balance of the world.

06/05/(23/24)

Baby boom broke out immediately after the end of the war in Japan.
It was from 1947 years to 1949 years.
It is called "baby boom generation".
They were the motive power of the consumption that always supports the high economic growth of Japan.
They are the nearest managerial position to the management at present.
They are retirement age from 2007 years to 2010 years.
60 years old retirement age is a tributary still in Japan.

Their population for 3 years is 8,057,000 or more people.
Recently birth population for 3 years is 3,500,000 people.
It differs 2 or more times.

In 1949 years, the birthplace was 2,697,000 people.
In 2001 years, the birthplace was 1,170,000 people.
It differs 1,527,000 people.

Many Japanese enterprises lose many management nuclei.
The unemployee rate of many enterprises exceed 30% recently.
The achievement is good as the high enterprise of the unemployee rate.
The enterprises will change it into the unemployee to management and planning.

The labor force population is decreasing certainly from this.
Many enterprises must accept a foreigner worker to be maintaining productivity.
A various race goes to enter into an enterprise.
Japanese have not touched the point heretofore.

The burden of social security increases from 2012 years sharply.



Age 0-4 5-14 15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-
Population 5,666,000 11,858,000 14,124,000 18,140,000 16,333,000 16,775,000 18,358,000 24,931,000
Rate 4.49% 9.40% 11.19% 14.38% 12.94% 13.29% 14.55% 19.76%







Japan's finance problem

06/14/(13/39)

The source of the economic development of Japan was technological renovation.
The economy of Japan prospered by the technical development of the smaller business and the introduction of foreign country technology.
However, finance income and outgo (pair GDP) became minus after 1993 years.
It was plus until around 1990 years.
It became the biggest deficit in the OECD countries in 1998 years (minus 6.0%).

The several foreign countries tackled with finance healthy -ization and improved.
The deterioration of Japan could not restrain disbursement, although tax revenues doesn't grow in depression -ization for long time.
Also the base of social security collapsed by little child -ization and aging.
The debt balance of Japan isn't likely to decrease.

The debt of the nation/local authority is the burden of the generation in the future.
However, the citizens didn't have the consciousness.
But, it began to feel it with something abnormality for the first time when the burden of social security and consumption tax gradually began to increase.
The eyes of the citizens have come to be able to see the burden.
The nation/local authority carries out the line fiscal revolution and must intend the disbursement cut.
It must materialize finance healthy -ization than early business condition recovery.




Japan issued the national bond from 1970 years.
The issuance amount increased after 1992 years.

The policy interest comparison of main country (May 13, 2005).
Japan: 0.0%
U.S.: 3.0%
EU area: 2.0%
England: 4.75%
Canada: 2.5%
Australia: 5.5%

The 10 year thing national bond yield comparison of main country.
Japan: 1.3%
U.S.: 4.1%
EU area: 3.3%
England: 4.4%
Canada: 4.0%
Australia: 5.3%

The 10 years thing national bond yield in 1990 years was 8.27%.
Japanese was able to live with interest.
The long term rate of interest was falling off after 1990 years.
It became a nonexistent low interest on world history with 1.5% of level in 1997 years.

The collapse of Yamaichi Securities Co., Ltd. discontinuance of business, major financial institutions broke out in 1997 years.
In 1998 years, hedge funds company LTCM ruined.
It was a global finance crisis.
Japan can not still go out from long long darkness.

The national bond yield falls off because the national bond is bought.
Japan is randomly releasing the national bond with the financial deficit.
Why be the Japanese national bond jumping, without slumping?
The answer is the big problem of Japan.




The reliability of the statistics of Japan has not established it still.
In 1999 years, the government investigated it for housekeeping.
The private property of all the family were $173,800 (alone family is eliminated).
The housekeeping savings balance of Japan are $6,120,000,000,000.
However, the private finance funds are $12,000,000,000,000 by the numerical value of Japanese bank.
The difference resulted in 2 times.
The numerical value of the housekeeping object is the trend of underestimate.
The high person of the savings balance reported too little.
The average was pushed down.
The numerical value of the Japanese bank is the trend of overestimation.
The few housekeeping of the savings balance greatly exists.
The high housekeeping of the balance is a minority.
The few housekeeping than the average of $173,800 existed 2/3.




It is 23 in 2004 years, 21 in 2005 years.
Japan was the most subordinate position (2005 years).
The extent of the entrepreneur mind.
The height of a corporate tax rate.
Is the university education matching to the needs of competition economy?
It was 58 in 60.



The software reliance degree is rising.
In 2000 years, the exports of the software were $9,000,000,000.
The importation amount of the software was $918,900,000,000.
The quality and performance of the software of Japan are inferior remarkably.
The price of the software of Japan is high.
India, China positioned software industry with the key industry.
It is exerting power to the cultivating.
It is turning an excellent person to software actively.
It is able to employ the $20,000 Indian from the annual income $80,000 Japanese.
The cost is 1/4.
The software of Japan is declining steadily.
America is exerting bad influence on the employment inside U.S. by the increase.




The achievement on the number in a part of large enterprise is recovering by the penetration of restructuring, salary cut, recently.
However, the debt burden proportion of the smaller business is still high.
The smaller business has supported Japanese economy until now.
The private consumption doesn't recover by deterioration environment.
The large enterprise will stall if it doesn't accompany the increase of private consumption, even if it recovers achievement.
The production age population is from 15 years old to 64 years old.
1/3 person is likely to become the aged in 2040 years.
It must raise the upper limit of production age population to 77 years old if it doesn't accept the immigrant.








@

The stout policy in 2005 years.

06/22/(13/48)

The Government announced the stout policy in 2005 years on June 21, 2005.
This is the last plan to a Prime Minister term of office (next fall) for the Koizumi Prime Minister.

"I change the Japanese Government into the small efficient government.
I change the flow of the funds and job into the local authority from nation, private from the government office.
I cut the public officer.
I manage the growth rate of the social security payment expense.
I change the high fee for medical treatment into the proper fee for medical treatment.
It cuts about 11% ($77,000,000,000) of the fees for medical treatment until 2025 years.
I accept the simple worker of the foreigner more without limiting to a special field.
I compress nationalization property."

Japan Medical Association expressed the opposition.
The resistance of the relation Government office/Bureaucracy/relation Diet member will become strong.
Can the Koizumi Prime Minister achieve?
Is it only the pose of the Koizumi Prime Minister?
The citizens must monitor it firmly.

The private inspection committee announced the evaluation of the stout policy in 2004 years on April 6, 2005.
The private inspection committee evaluated it for the first time.
It is aim to accelerate the speed of reform.
It evaluates it with 4 stages of "A" "B" "C" "*".
The control of the aged fee for medical treatment and the review of the social security system was a lowest rank (*).

Thirteen items were a C rank.
It changes the flow of the funds and job to the local authority from the nation.
The education that made the most of the characteristic of the area is materialized.
The freedom of information of fostering.
The personnel affairs of the government office and private, interchange.
It supports labor movement and mistake match solution.
Medical care system reform.
The care precautionary measures.
Employment and unemployment insurance reform.
The tender/contract for competition promotion is reformed.
The IT society that the aged can participate is materialized.
Public officer system reform etc.



@

Japanese population pyramid.

06/22/(15/13)

The comparison of the Japanese population pyramid in 1949 years(the left) and 2004 years (the right).
This estimated the 2004 years by the census in 2000 years.
Japan is included in the old person country certainly.
Japanese Government must make the society that the aged can take an active part while making the most of ability and experience.

The aged of the single life has rapidly increased now.

The Government is instructing the improvement of the meal and exercise thoroughly.
Also the Government is instructing the shortening of the hospitalization number of days.
At present, the old person medical treatment occupies 40% in the fees for medical treatment of $300,000,000,000 for a year.
However, the aged fee for medical treatment is increasing to eel climbing.

The medical treatment insurance of Japan is waste.
All the medical treatment insurance were sharing the medical treatment of the current aged (the old person health system).
The dissatisfaction of the active service subscribers of all the medical treatment insurance have become big.
Many enterprises can not bear the social insurance burden increase of the employee already.
The enterprise is unable to employ the employee while worrying about the social insurance burden.

It abolishesw the old person health system in 2006 years.
It makes the new insurance of the old person.
The government hardened the policy that the cities,towns and village manage the new insurance on April 9, 2005.
It collects the insurance premium from the old person.
The high cities,towns and village of aged proportion will repel.

The aging is giving birth to many problems.
However, the measure has not been discovered throughout the world still.








Tax.

06/27/(00/17)

Mankind made a tax to stabilize the society.
The tax has 3 works.
"The distribution of the resources"
"The distribution of the income"
"The adjustment of the business condition"

The distribution of the income does the society equally.
The person is paying the tax with a various form.
The tax that it paid is used for all the citizens can live richly with health.
Be the nation using the tax well?
Nation and administration are using the tax thoughtlessly like water in Japan.


Corporate tax

Corporate tax rate revises the market economy that went too far it.
America is California.
It is 45.79% in the case of New York city.

Income tax rate to the private income is a successive promotion tax rate generally.
Income tax revises the remarkable difference of wealth.
It is a weak person help.
All the countries are in principle that doesn't tax lowest living expense.
Therefore, the taxation minimum is established.
America is favoring the rich most.
Next, England is favoring the rich.
France is favoring the poor person most.
Next, Germany is favoring the poor person.

Income tax